Fireside Chat: The Hindsight Lens
It was Carroll Quigley who wrote:
Sensible historians usually refrain from writing accounts of very recent events because they realize that the source materials for such events, especially the indispensable official documents, are not available and that, even with the documentation which is available, it is very difficult for anyone to obtain the necessary perspective on the events of one’s own mature life.
Quigley argues against the reverse at the end of Tragedy and Hope, stating:
The historian has difficulty distinguishing the features of the present, and generally prefers to restrict his studies to the past, where the evidence is more freely available and where perspective helps him to interpret the evidence. Thus the historian speaks with decreasing assurance about the nature and significance of events as they approach his own time.
Truth is determined by hindsight, not consensus. Hindsight observes the undetected, leading to insight into other realms of knowledge. However, it's important to remember that hindsight has its limitations. It allows others to see that the world is round, that cigarettes don’t help with asthma, and that there is no such thing as a vaccine without side effects. Hindsight helps mankind handle topics and realms of research that man would not have been discovered otherwise. But, when used without circumspection, the Hindsight Lens can lead to unfair criticism or a sense of superiority. It's akin to examining a situation through a magnifying glass, where everything appears clear, and the outcome is known. This can result in unfair criticism of ourselves or others for past actions or even a sense of superiority for " learning from our mistakes.” The same Liberals who eschew slavery are the first to buy iPhones, tweet from it while sipping on a Starbucks about supplemental basic income, using Daddy’s credit card to pay for it all. The whole scenario reminds me of what Umberto Eco wrote in Foucault's Pendulum:
What happened to me was like what might happen to a pedantic ethnologist who has spent years studying cannibalism. He challenges the smugness of the whites by assuring everybody that actually human flesh is delicious. Then one day a doubter decides to see for himself and performs the experiment - on him. As the ethnologist is devoured piece by piece, he hopes , for he will never know who was right, that at least he is delicious, which will justify the ritual and his death.
The temptation of the Hindsight Lens is that it seduces us to the beatification of rubbish instead of verity. For instance, Nikole Hannah-Jones can claim that the United States was founded on slavery, but without the necessary context, her interpretation will always miss the mark. The Hindsight Lens also lends privy to the study of the absurd, such as the field of Forensic Tetrapyloctomy (the scientific investigation of the art of splitting a hair four ways). Historia est magistra vitae, but the temptation of the Hindsight Lens frames the modern culture’s thoughts on the past.